MLB Greatest Bets: Predictions, Odds for Mets vs. Marlins, Diamondbacks vs. Tigers for June 25, 2022.

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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: 4:10 PM EST

Chris Bassitt (RHP, Mets) [7-5, 3.31 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 81.2 IP, 82 K, 29 BB]

Trevor Rogers (LHP, Marlins) [3-6, 5.83 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 58.2 IP, 53 K, 30 BB]

We head to Miami for the second recreation of a three-game set. The Mets beat the Marlins 5-3 yesterday, as Sandy Alcantara had his first tough begin of the season. One doesn’t see that fairly often, however that’s how good the Mets might be in opposition to right-handed pitching. Whereas the Mets are strong in opposition to lefties, that has been considerably of their Achilles heel all season.

Trevor Rogers will toe the rubber for Miami, who’s had a tough go of it this yr. Final season, he regarded like an rising ace, simply lacking out on NL Rookie of the 12 months. This season, he’s struggled with command and his fastball is getting crushed. He confronted the Mets on the highway in his final begin, permitting three earned runs over 5 innings of labor.

Rogers has a house ERA at 8.85. Final yr, it was 2.77. Sooner or later, this has to normalize. Whereas I’m not anticipating Rogers to exit and dominate, I do assume he can decelerate the Mets’ bats. That final begin in opposition to the Mets was the one blip in his resume in opposition to him. By way of 76 plate appearances in opposition to the Mets’ present roster, he holds a .177 opponent batting common, a .277 xwOBA, and a .281 xSLG. All of these numbers are incredible.

The principle motive I’m on the Marlins is I actually assume they’ll hit Chris Bassitt at this time. Whereas Bassitt is placing collectively a nice season, he has not pitched properly on the highway. That is nothing new to Bassitt, as each single season since his rookie season he’s carried out a lot worse on the highway, courting again to his time in Oakland.

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